Phase 1: Prepare
Step 1 Warm-up recall
From M1.L2: write the four tests for a good use case.
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Step 2 Learning goal
By the end of this lesson you can:
- compute the current cost of a process (Foundation);
- compute the cost with an AI tool, including errors (Core);
- state the saving and what it depends on (Core).
Phase 2: Teach
Step 3 A familiar example
A vendor presents a single number: “save 80% of the work”. A careful buyer asks about the remaining 20% of work, the monthly fee, and the cost of fixing mistakes.
Step 4 Clear explanation
A first value case compares two monthly costs: the cost of the process today and the cost with the tool. Here is an invented example of 2,000 invoices a month, each taking 5 minutes at £0.60 per minute. The tool costs £1,500 a month, handles 80% of invoices automatically, and makes errors on 2% of those, each costing £20 to correct.
| Line | Working | Monthly amount (£, invented) |
|---|---|---|
| Current cost | 2,000 invoices × 5 min × £0.60 per min = 2,000 × £3.00 | 6,000 |
| Tool fee | Fixed monthly fee | 1,500 |
| Still done by hand | 20% of 2,000 = 400 invoices × £3.00 | 1,200 |
| Correcting AI errors | 2% of 1,600 handled = 32 × £20 | 640 |
| New cost | 1,500 + 1,200 + 640 | 3,340 |
| Saving | 6,000 − 3,340 | 2,660 |
The saving is £2,660 a month, or £31,920 a year, but it depends on the assumptions: the share handled automatically, the error rate and the cost per error. A prudent leader tests these numbers on a pilot before committing. Notice that the error line is a real cost: if the error rate doubled to 4%, the correction cost would be £1,280 and the saving would fall to £2,020. See the entry on risk scoring for ways to rank risks.
Step 5 Worked example (4 marks)
Invented: 1,000 documents a month, 4 minutes each at £0.50 per minute. A tool costs £600 a month, handles 50% automatically and errs on 4% of those, at £10 each.
- Current cost = 1,000 × 4 × £0.50 = £2,000. (1 mark)
- By hand: 500 × £2.00 = £1,000. (1 mark)
- Errors: 4% of 500 = 20; 20 × £10 = £200. (1 mark)
- New cost = 600 + 1,000 + 200 = £1,800; saving = £200 a month (10%). (1 mark)
Phase 3: Practise
Step 6 Learner practice (instant-marked)
1. 2,000 invoices at 5 minutes and £0.60 per minute cost:
2,000 × 5 × 0.60 = 6,000.
2. A tool handles 80% of 2,000 invoices. How many are handled automatically?
0.8 × 2,000 = 1,600.
3. 2% of 1,600 handled invoices are wrong. How many errors?
0.02 × 1,600 = 32.
4. Old cost £6,000 and new cost £3,340. The saving is:
6,000 − 3,340 = 2,660.
Phase 4: Close
Step 7 Recap
- New cost = tool fee + work still done by hand + cost of correcting errors.
- Saving = old cost − new cost.
- Test the assumptions on a pilot.
Step 8 Exit ticket (ungraded)
List the three cost lines you would add to a vendor’s “save 80%” claim.
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Step 9 Go further (Extension)
Recalculate the example with an error rate of 4% and see how the saving changes.
Common mistakes
| Mistake | Why it fails |
|---|---|
| Counting only the saving | Include the fee, manual work and error costs. |
| Using the vendor’s accuracy as your error rate | Test on your own data. |
| Ignoring the cost of fixing errors | Each error has a cost. |
Limits. All figures are invented. A real value case also counts set-up, training, staff time, support, and benefits that are hard to measure.