Specialty Digest

Global English editionLearners’ Study Dashboard — in development
The Knowledge Library for All

Online Courses / University Track / The Psychology of a Flourishing Life

Module 3 · Lesson 2 · Core

Mindfulness programmes: reading the evidence

What a large review found, how to read confidence intervals, and what “moderate” and “low” evidence mean.

  • 55 minutes
  • Serves O4 and O5
  • Assumes M3.L1

Phase 1: Prepare

Step 1 Warm-up recall

From Module 1: how is Cohen’s d calculated, and which labels are used for 0.2, 0.5 and 0.8?

Private: nothing you type here is sent or stored.

Step 2 Learning goal

By the end of this lesson you can:

  • describe what a meta-analysis pools and what Goyal and colleagues (2014) found (Foundation);
  • read an effect size with its 95% confidence interval (Core);
  • explain why “moderate” and “low” evidence are not the same as “works” and “does not work” (Core).

Phase 2: Teach

Step 3 A familiar example

One trial of a new teaching method might look good by luck. Ten trials that point the same way are harder to dismiss. A meta-analysis gathers many trials and combines them.

Step 4 Clear explanation

A meta-analysis pools the results of many studies on one question. Goyal and colleagues (2014) reviewed meditation programmes for psychological stress and well-being and included 47 trials with 3,515 participants. Looking at mindfulness meditation programmes, they rated the strength of the evidence:

OutcomeStrength of evidenceEffect size (95% confidence interval)
AnxietyModerate0.38 (0.12 to 0.64) at 8 weeks
DepressionModerate0.30 (0.00 to 0.59) at 8 weeks
PainModerate0.33 (0.03 to 0.62)
Stress and distress; mental health-related quality of lifeLowEvidence of improvement was rated low

A confidence interval gives a range of values compatible with the data. The depression interval runs from 0.00 to 0.59, so its lower end touches zero: the data are compatible with anything from no effect to a moderate one. The anxiety interval, 0.12 to 0.64, sits entirely above zero, but its width shows the size is uncertain.

0 = no effectAnxiety0.38 (0.12 to 0.64)Depression0.30 (0.00 to 0.59)Pain0.33 (0.03 to 0.62)
Effect sizes with 95% confidence intervals from Goyal and colleagues (2014). The dashed line is zero effect.

“Low” evidence means the evidence base is thin or inconsistent, not that the practice has been shown to fail. “Moderate” does not mean large. And “meditation programme” means an organised course, usually over weeks, not a single quiet minute.

Step 5 Worked example (4 marks)

A trial reports d = 0.25 with a 95% confidence interval of −0.05 to 0.55.

  1. Width = 0.55 − (−0.05) = 0.60. (1 mark)
  2. The interval includes zero, so the data are compatible with no effect. (1 mark)
  3. The upper end, 0.55, is a medium effect, so a useful effect is also compatible. (1 mark)
  4. Fair summary: the result is uncertain, and more or larger trials are needed. (1 mark)

Phase 3: Practise

Step 6 Learner practice (instant-marked)

2. For depression, Goyal and colleagues reported 0.30 (0.00 to 0.59). What does the interval show?

3. What does “low-strength evidence” mean?

4. Why is a meta-analysis of 47 trials generally stronger than one small trial?

Phase 4: Close

Step 7 Recap

  • Meta-analysis pools many studies.
  • Goyal and colleagues (2014): 47 trials, 3,515 participants; moderate evidence for anxiety (0.38), depression (0.30) and pain (0.33); low evidence for stress and quality of life.
  • A confidence interval shows which effects the data are compatible with.
  • “Low evidence” is not “does not work”.

Step 8 Exit ticket (ungraded)

Write one sentence that fairly summarises the depression result, including the interval.

Private: nothing you type here is sent or stored.

Step 9 Go further (Extension)

Read the abstract of Goyal and colleagues (2014) in JAMA Internal Medicine. Find what the review says about comparison groups and about whether meditation was better than other active treatments.

Common mistakes

MistakeWhy it fails
Reading “moderate evidence” as “large effect”Strength of evidence and size of effect are different.
Reading “low evidence” as “no effect”It means the evidence is thin, not that the answer is no.
Ignoring the intervalA point estimate hides how uncertain it is.

Limits. Figures are from the review’s abstract. Trials differ in programmes, comparison groups and follow-up, and the review covers programmes, not casual practice.